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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailConsumers are running out of excess savings, says BNY Mellon's Sonia MeskinSonia Meskin, head of U.S. macro at BNY Mellon Investment Management, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss the Federal Reserve's decision to cut a March rate off the table, her expectations from the Fed, and more.
Persons: BNY Mellon's Sonia Meskin Sonia Meskin Organizations: Consumers, BNY Mellon Investment Management
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThis market is still really sensitive to Fed expectations, says BNY Mellon's Jake JollyCharlie Bobrinskoy, Ariel head of investment group, and Jake Jolly, BNY Mellon Investment Management head of investment analysis, join 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action.
Persons: BNY, Jake Jolly Charlie Bobrinskoy, Ariel, Jake Jolly Organizations: Mellon Investment Management
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThis is a great time to be long dated Treasuries, says Komal Sri-KumarKomal Sri Kumar, Sri-Kumar Global Strategies president, and Jake Jolly, BNY Mellon Investment Management head of investment analysis, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action.
Persons: Komal, Kumar Komal Sri Kumar, Jake Jolly Organizations: Kumar Global, Mellon Investment Management
A view shows the logo of the European Central Bank (ECB) outside its headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany March 16, 2023. With investors confident that big central banks are likely done raising rates, focus has switched to when rate cuts will start. Traders now price in over an 80% chance of a 25 basis-points (bps) ECB cut by April, which had been fully priced for July last week. Piet Christiansen, chief analyst at Danske Bank, said the expectations for ECB rate cuts now reflected a "doom and gloom" scenario. He added the ECB would need to cut rates at least as much as traders expect next year.
Persons: Heiko Becker, BoE, Shamik Dhar, Christine Lagarde, Piet Christiansen, Lagarde, Goldman, Gurpreet Gill, Dario Perkins, Yoruk, Sumanta Sen, Kripa Jayaram, Dhara Ranasinghe, Emelia Organizations: European Central Bank, REUTERS, Traders, ECB, Fed, Federal Reserve, Bank of England, BNY Mellon Investment, Treasury, Reuters, Danske Bank, Asset Management, Lombard, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, United States, Europe, U.S, Britain, Israel
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBNY Mellon's Sonia Meskin: Central expectation for S&P 500 headed into year-end is about 4000Sonia Meskin, head of U.S. macro at BNY Mellon Investment Management, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss her year-end outlook on the market and economy.
Persons: Sonia Meskin Organizations: BNY Mellon Investment Management
Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 26, 2023. U.S. stock futures rose on Thursday night after the Nasdaq Composite slipped further into correction territory. Futures tied to the S&P 500 advanced 0.5%, while Dow Jones Industrial Average futures advanced 115 points, or 0.3%. The action comes after the index slid into correction territory on Wednesday. The S&P 500 ended the day 1.18% lower — 9.8% off its closing high for the year in July and teetering dangerously close to correction territory.
Persons: teetering, Sonia Meskin, We're, Dow, Dow Jones Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, UAW, Dow, BNY Mellon Investment Management, PCE, Chevron, Exxon Mobil Locations: New York City, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHigher yields present buying opportunity for fixed income: BNY's Sonia MeskinSonia Meskin, head of U.S. macro at BNY Mellon Investment Management, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss recession risks, the possibility of a soft landing, and more.
Persons: Sonia Meskin Sonia Meskin Organizations: BNY Mellon Investment Management
But, Japanese authorities could find propping up their currency both difficult to achieve and hard to justify. To make even a ripple in the $5 trillion currency market, the BOJ would need to draw down massive amounts of dollar reserves. Wakabayashi, like many other analysts and investors, considers the 150 yen per dollar level a red line for currency intervention, not least because of its significance as a symbol of climbing costs of living from imported food and fuel. INTERVENTION IMMINENTThe yen careened to a 32-year trough at 151.94 last October before being reined in by several bouts of heavy intervention, the first by Japanese authorities in a generation. Measures of expected market volatility remain subdued.
Persons: Kim Kyung, Bank of Japan's hesitancy, Kazuo Ueda, You've, they're, Bart Wakabayashi, Fumio Kishida, Shunichi Suzuki, Masayuki Kichikawa, Ray Attrill, Janet Yellen, Aninda Mitra, Mitra, Kevin Buckland, Alun John, Vidya Ranganathan, Simon Cameron, Moore Organizations: National Printing Bureau, Bank of Japan, REUTERS, Rights, Bank of Japan's, U.S . Federal Reserve, U.S, Treasury, Fed, State Street Bank, Trust, Finance, Sumitomo Mitsui DS Asset Management, Ministry of Finance, National Australia Bank, BNY Mellon Investment Management, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, U.S, Washington, Asia, London
There were 68 active fund launches in the third quarter as of Sept. 22, compared to 49 indexed fund launches, according to CFRA. Passive funds still make up the majority of the ETF market, and they typically cost less than active products. JEPI, the biggest active ETF, has underperformed the S & P 500 this year but is still attracting new cash. "One of the problems with straightforward active funds, and we do run some straightforward active funds, is that very often ... you are tethered to that broad index, whatever happens to be in that. Abbott's firm launched five new active funds last week, including the Matthews Japan Active ETF (JPAN) .
Persons: Rachel Aguirre, Euan Munro, BNY Mellon, Cooper Abbott, Stephanie Pierce, Dreyfus, Jeremy Grantham's, Abbott Organizations: BlackRock, CNBC, JPMorgan —, Nasdaq, Newton Asset Management, BNY, Matthews Asia, Matthews Japan Active, SEC, Mellon & Exchange, BNY Mellon Investment Management Locations: BALI, BlackRock
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBNY Mellon's Jolly: Tactically, it's still a very challenging marketJake Jolly, BNY Mellon Investment Management head of investment analysis, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss where we are with the markets, Jolly's expectations for a soft landing from inflation, and how the strategist considers the employment picture.
Persons: Jolly, Jake Jolly Organizations: Mellon Investment Management
"The U.S. consumer is on thin ice coming into the final stretch of 2023," said Emily Roland, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management. Further declines in the labor market will likely act as a double-edged sword for investors, relieving some inflation pressures while weighing on consumer spending. Overall consumer spending rose slightly more than expected in August, while the savings rate fell to its lowest since November 2022, the Commerce Department said on Thursday. Betting against the consumer spending has so far been a losing wager. (This story has been corrected to say BNY Mellon Investment Management, not BNY Mellon, in paragraph 10)Reporting by David Randall; editing by Megan Davies and Andy SullivanOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Caitlin Ochs, Nordstrom, Macy's, Emily Roland, Jake Jolly, Gregory Daco, Young, Jason Draho, Sandy Villere, Mellon, David Randall, Megan Davies, Andy Sullivan Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Apollo Group . Department, John Hancock Investment Management, of Labor Statistics, Commerce Department, BNY Mellon Investment Management, Treasury, Ernst, Atlanta Fed's, UBS Global Wealth Management, Royal Caribbean Cruises, Villere, Thomson Locations: New York City, Russia, Ukraine, New York, U.S
The 2023 stock market rally caught many investors off guard, with mountains of excess cash sitting in money market funds. "Money market balances are building up, which is unusual given how much the stock market has rallied recently. And history suggests that money market funds are not always fuel for a buy-the-dip trend to support a late-stage rally. Through that lens, the growth of money market funds in 2023 can also be linked to the regional bank crisis earlier this year. Clissold said discussions with wealth advisory clients suggest that "some of that money market fund money does leak into the stock market," albeit over time.
Persons: Emmanuel Cau, Callie Cox, Cox, Todd Sohn, Sohn, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis, Clissold, John Tobin, Dreyfus, I'm, corporates, Tobin Organizations: Bank of America, EPFR, Investment Company Institute, Nasdaq, Barclays, Money, Federal Reserve, Ned, Ned Davis Research, BNY Mellon Investment Management, CIO Locations: U.S
The China gloom saw the Australian and New Zealand dollars, often used as liquid proxies for the yuan, tumbling to their lowest levels since November in early Asia trade. The Aussie bottomed at $0.6440, while the kiwi slid to a low of $0.5939, ahead of a rate decision by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand later on Wednesday. "But where we are at the moment, I think the jawboning will continue but I'm not convinced that we'll see intervention." The greenback predictably rode Treasury yields higher, with the dollar index eking out a slight gain to 103.22. The euro was little changed at $1.0902, while sterling dipped 0.05% to $1.2696, ahead of U.K. inflation data due later on Wednesday.
Persons: Aninda Mitra, Shunichi Suzuki, Ray Attrill, I'm Organizations: New, Reserve Bank of New, People's Bank of, BNY Mellon Investment Management, Finance, National Australia Bank, Federal Reserve, Treasury Locations: Asia, Beijing, China, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, People's Bank of China, Japan
Banknotes of Japanese yen are seen in this illustration picture taken September 22, 2022. The Aussie bottomed at $0.6440, while the kiwi slid to a low of $0.5939, ahead of a rate decision by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand later on Wednesday. "But where we are at the moment, I think the jawboning will continue but I'm not convinced that we'll see intervention." The greenback predictably rode Treasury yields higher, with the dollar index ekeing out a slight gain to 103.22. The euro was little changed at $1.0902, while sterling dipped 0.05% to $1.2696, ahead of UK inflation data due later on Wednesday.
Persons: Florence Lo, Aninda Mitra, Shunichi Suzuki, Ray Attrill, I'm, Rae Wee, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, New, Reserve Bank of New, People's Bank of, BNY Mellon Investment Management, Finance, National Australia Bank, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Thomson Locations: Asia, Beijing, China, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, People's Bank of China, Japan
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailExpect long-term structural measures at the Politburo meeting to stimulate the Chinese economyAninda Mitra of BNY Mellon Investment Management says the firm currently has a 'neutral' position on the Chinese market as the valuation is too cheap to short, but fundamental drivers are too weak to go long.
Persons: Aninda Mitra Organizations: BNY Mellon Investment Management
The yuan firmed by more than 0.5% in both the onshore and offshore markets as investors cheered comments at the closely watched Politburo meeting, though many were still seeking specific details on greater stimulus measures. The yuan traded offshore was last at 7.1444 per dollar and in the onshore market it was at 7.1454 per dollar. Also propping up the yuan were China's major state-owned banks selling U.S. dollars to buy yuan in both onshore and offshore spot markets on Tuesday, sources told Reuters. The positive sentiment from China lifted the Australian dollar, often used as a liquid proxy for the yuan, which rose 0.4% to $0.6767. In Europe, the pound rose 0.22% to $1.2854, its first day of gains after seven straight sessions of losses, its longest such streak since March 2020.
Persons: Tommy Xie, Guillermo Felices, Ueda, Aninda Mitra, Rae Wee, Alun John, Shri Navaratnam, Lincoln, Christina Fincher Organizations: Reuters, European Central Bank, Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, BNY Mellon Investment Management, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, LONDON, China, Europe, Asia, Singapore, London
HONG KONG/TAIPEI, July 21 (Reuters) - Investors are putting aside geopolitical tensions to pile in to Taiwan stocks, with foreign inflows the biggest in years, thanks to soaring artificial intelligence and chipmaking stocks. Rather, investors say it's all the more sturdy as the bogged-down conflict deters Chinese action and risks can be managed by keeping positions liquid with one eye on a possibly quick exit. "A potential escalation of events in the Taiwan Strait down the line is less relevant for these investors," he said. "So that makes Taiwan’s AI supply chain very attractive for foreign investors, and we believe their fund inflows will continue to be strong throughout the year." Investors say Taiwan's market is uniquely positioned to benefit because it is exposed to the sector's growth from applications to components, where demand is rebounding.
Persons: Carlos Casanova, Warren Buffett, we've, Frank Benzimra, Hai, Andrew Swan, Goldman Sachs, Clarence Chan, Summer Zhen, Kim Coghill Organizations: Nasdaq, Union Bancaire, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Societe Generale ., Accton Technology, Hai Precision Industry, Wistron Corp, Alchip Technologies, Ark Investment Management, Vanguard, PineBridge Investments, Mellon Investment Management, Thomson Locations: HONG KONG, TAIPEI, Taiwan, Asia, Ukraine, Taiwan Strait, China, Taipei, Japan, PineBridge Investments Asia, Alchip, Asia Pacific, Hong Kong
For markets, BoE communication is bottom of the class
  + stars: | 2023-07-17 | by ( Yoruk Bahceli | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +6 min
U.S. Federal Reserve and European Central Bank expectations have meanwhile risen only marginally. For investors, clear communication from central bankers is crucial as they transmit their policy to borrowing costs through markets. The BoE was the first major central bank to start hiking rates. In contrast, they have long bet on more hikes than the BoE's main forecasts have implied are needed to tame inflation, rates futures show. BoE messaging, suggesting a reluctance to hike, has made it "very difficult" to own gilts recently, he said.
Persons: BoE, Toby Melville, Shamik Dhar, Andrew Bailey, Bailey, Schroders, Azad Zangana, Zangana, Liz Truss, Myles Bradshaw, Chris Jeffery, Jerome, Powell, Christine, Lagarde, it's, Craig, Yoruk, Dhara Ranasinghe, William Schomberg, John Stonestreet Organizations: Bank of England, REUTERS, Fed, ECB, of England, Traders, . Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, BNY Mellon Investment Management, Bank of England's, Investors, Graphics, of England's, Reuters, Asset Management, Thomson Locations: London, Britain, U.S, Dhar
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFallen angels are rising stars, investment specialist highlights opportunity in junk bondsPaul Benson from BNY Mellon Investment Management explains why he thinks investors should be diversifying their portfolios and considering fallen angel bonds.
Persons: Paul Benson Organizations: BNY Mellon Investment Management
LONDON, June 15 (Reuters) - Hawkish central banks have sent a resounding "no" to markets betting recession would force rate cuts soon, leaving money managers scrambling for direction as the second half of the year approaches. "Markets have been wrong not only in their interpretation of the data but of the central bank reaction," he added. "Even though inflation is coming down, you are still getting that phase were the central banks think they need to talk hawkishly about this." Canada last week restarted rate hikes, Australia has come off a pause and Norway may have to accelerate hikes next week. BofA now expects two 25 bps interest rate hikes from the Fed this year, JPMorgan sees only one more and Morgan Stanley sees none.
Persons: Jason Simpson, Shorter, BofA, Morgan Stanley, Mark Nash, Nash, Kaspar Hense, Michael Michaelides, Shamik, BoE, they're, Dhar, Naomi Rovnick, Dhara Ranasinghe, Conor Humphries Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of England, State, Bank of Japan, Treasury, JPMorgan, BlueBay Asset Management, BNY Mellon Investment Management, Thomson Locations: U.S, Canada, Australia, Norway, Shamik Dhar
Yet for many, the lofty milestones are a reminder that Japan's stocks have gone sideways for years, making many foreign asset allocators reluctant to venture into the market. "A very significant inflow from global investors (followed)," Powell said, "but then unfortunately, a lot of the enthusiasm has dissipated." Swiss wealth manager Union Bancaire Privée is also underweight Japan, with the policy outlook presenting currency risks. BIG MONEY WAITINGThe policy and communication challenge for new BOJ governor Kazuo Ueda is a tricky one. "Big money never buys cheap, it buys momentum."
Yet for many, the lofty milestones are a reminder that Japan's stocks have gone sideways for years, making many foreign asset allocators reluctant to venture into the market. "A very significant inflow from global investors (followed)," Powell said, "but then unfortunately, a lot of the enthusiasm has dissipated." Swiss wealth manager Union Bancaire Privée is also underweight Japan, with the policy outlook presenting currency risks. BIG MONEY WAITINGThe policy and communication challenge for new BOJ governor Kazuo Ueda is a tricky one. "Big money never buys cheap, it buys momentum."
Investing in women's empowerment and opportunities is something portfolio managers Julianne McHugh and Miki Behr have talked about doing for years. BNY Mellon Women's Opportunities ETF , the exchange-traded fund they manage, launched Wednesday, trading under the ticker BKWO. Investing for financial return while promoting gender diversity, known as gender lens or gender equity investing, isn't new. Assets in U.S. gender equity funds have doubled over the last three years, to $1.3 billion, as of the end of February, Morningstar found. Those funds represent less than 0.01% of total equity fund assets in the United States, according to the firm.
Sallie Krawcheck's biggest piece of advice for women investors is simple: Invest some money. After Wall Street CEO and CFO jobs at places like Citibank and Smith Barney, Krawcheck co-founded Ellevest, a digital investment and wealth management platform, in 2014. One in 10 women say they don't fully understand investing, and only about 28% feel confident investing, the BNY Mellon report noted. "Women will not invest if they don't understand, [but] men will invest anyway." That trend is good news for a platform like Ellevest, which has raised $144 million in funding since launching and manages more than $1.5 billion in assets from women investors.
Dollar gains, euro dips after cautious ECB
  + stars: | 2023-05-04 | by ( Karen Brettell | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
SINGAPORE, May 4 (Reuters) - The dollar gained against the euro after the European Central Bank eased its pace of rate hikes, a day after the Federal Reserve hiked rates by 25 basis points and indicated that it may pause further increases. The Fed on Wednesday dropped from its policy statement language saying that it "anticipates" further rate increases would be needed. The dollar index was last up 0.30% on the day at 101.52. The greenback was last down 0.17% against the Norwegian crown at 10.73 after Norway's central bank raised interest rates by 25 basis points as expected. ========================================================Currency bid prices at 10:18AM (1418 GMT)Reporting by Rae Wee Editing by Shri NavaratnamOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
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